Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.1%
- Current value
- $443
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $858.03
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $135.94
Polymarket Trader
VORGEN
0x6602fd6668cadebccf8a1a6914c753db4b7217a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $494.85
- Realized PnL
- $397.2
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $51.85
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$15.25
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.9
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.15
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.15
Yes position
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.02
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.55
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.82
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.61
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.52
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.82
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.68
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.44
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.58
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.59
Yes position
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 34.3% 200 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 36.4% 87.91 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 36.3% 123.86 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 22.6% 567.94 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 18% 277.78 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 21.6% 462.63 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 18.8% 258.68 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.2% 895.3 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 10.5% 190.48 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 17.5% 154.26 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 10.8% 250.74 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 17.6% 154.26 shares