No position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.36
- Potential profit
- $54.36
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Polymarket Trader
mndwjfpprw
0x6622f072df3dc3378e0506f7c15e317f65860f4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.82
- Realized PnL
- $240.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $14.56
- Potential payout
- $17.44
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $9.56
- Potential payout
- $11.31
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $10.26
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $9.41
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Y
Yes position
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $2.1
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $2.05
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.34
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 12AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Up position
XRP Up or Down - December 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 9PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 7AM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Tech Release Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 64% 6.25 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 98.5% 10.25 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes 92% 1.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown 97% 5.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp 63% 1.59 shares
- Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?No 84% 1.19 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?Yes 94.6% 1.06 shares
- Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes 44% 2.27 shares
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?Yes 95.3% 2.1 shares
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?No 99.7% 5.17 shares
- Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?Yes 96.8% 5.17 shares