Polymarket Trader

ondra123

0x662ce90c51d613a2975a536272e477ab7c38bfe7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.36K
Realized PnL: $118.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$1.64K

No position

Megaquake by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $405
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $135

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$1.12K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $0.8
User PnL: $88.24

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $357.75
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $92.25
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$6.25

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $103.5
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $346.5
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $11.1

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.87K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.49K

No position

Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: August

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55K

Yes position

Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32K

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37K

Yes position

Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99K

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Yes position

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4K

No position

Israel strikes Syria by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33K

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 80% 250 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 23% 250 shares
Megaquake by July 31?

No 88% 4,500 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 82% 200 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 21.8% 200 shares
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?

Yes 11% 99.99 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

No 97% 300 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

No 97% 2,900 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

No 92% 3,200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 80% 3,200 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: May

Something 22.5% 3,200 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

No 97.4% 400 shares