Polymarket Trader

szakal

@cryptoshakal

0x665095017c1c71d567b77785dd398224d54371b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.42K
Realized PnL: $7.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$52

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $997.15
Potential profit: $997.15
User PnL: -$800

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $539.68
Potential payout: $877.53
Potential profit: $337.85
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $25.68

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $698.5
Potential profit: $698.5
User PnL: -$388.99

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $622.4
Potential payout: $649.35
Potential profit: $26.95
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $122.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430.06
Potential profit: $430.06
User PnL: -$266.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415.38
Potential profit: $415.38
User PnL: -$5

No position

Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.1
Potential profit: $409.1
User PnL: -$165

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $368.69
Potential profit: $368.69
User PnL: -$60

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$50

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$100

No position

Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $260.9
Potential payout: $289.89
Potential profit: $28.99
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $10.9

No position

Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.75
Potential profit: $289.75
User PnL: -$130

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.73
Potential profit: $257.73
User PnL: -$25

No position

Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.88
Potential profit: $240.88
User PnL: -$145.73

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.96
Potential profit: $208.96
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.22
Potential profit: $206.22
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Skye Valadez confirmed perp?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $843.83

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.92

No position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.67

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.66

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $346.07

No position

Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest country" during the UK state banquet on September 17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.38

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $272.25

No position

Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.88

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.96

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.9

No position

Will Trump say "Peace" 10+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.56

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.03

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.93

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 September 15-21?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.91

No position

Ethereum all time high by September 30?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.87

Yes position

Will Trump attend the US Open Finals?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.98

No position

Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.78

No position

Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Turkish president on September 25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.64

Wiklacz position

UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.09

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $4000 September 8–14?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 59% 677.53 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5

Under 68% 147.06 shares
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 196.08 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 33% 303.03 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 44% 709.19 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

No 52% 167.75 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

No 15% 333.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 77% 649.35 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 61% 116.88 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 94.4% 158.9 shares
O/U 1.5 Rounds

Over 29% 172.41 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5?

Up 4% 125 shares