No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.53
- Potential profit
- $123.53
- User PnL
- -$105
Polymarket Trader
cfgyhd
0x665224cc9bfe632c4844c3408b4454b6f308652f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.71
- Realized PnL
- $14.37
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $22.96
- Potential payout
- $30.61
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.79
- Potential profit
- $20.79
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will "So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.2% 20.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85% 123.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 96% 125 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No 93% 15.05 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 91% 25 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.5% 96.34 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 65.3% 30.61 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 64% 18.75 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 84% 25 shares
- Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.7% 50.4 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?No 99.9% 12.31 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No 99% 39 shares