No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $620
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $300
Polymarket Trader
randomen
0x665b5d46cb35dcee63d76e3aee412875d5d032b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.67K
- Realized PnL
- $8.94K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $994.9
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $230.55
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $720
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $355
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.74
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $231
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $140 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.33
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$92.51
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 65% 75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 73.2% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 3,000 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No 42% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 82% 591.28 shares
- Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?Yes 73% 8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 81.1% 242.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 74% 6,756.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 74% 3,792.92 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 3.7% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 71% 1,000 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 81% 600 shares