Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $167.32K
- Potential payout
- $916.8K
- Potential profit
- $749.48K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$291.08K
Polymarket Trader
0x665dcbe83796B5010279F0a38b197D65E0AAAf35-1776853969009
0x665dcbe83796b5010279f0a38b197d65e0aaaf35
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $916.8K
- Realized PnL
- $10.33K
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $749.48K
- Potential payout
- $916.8K
- Potential profit
- $167.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $291.08K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.42
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $906.45
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.24
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.92
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.37
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.71
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.45
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.04
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.14
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$222.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 616,796.19 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 98.9% 17,908.58 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.3% 32,091.42 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 37.15 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 36,691.87 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.5% 172,279.99 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 106,509 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.9% 409,923.78 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No 99.9% 90,038.7 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No 99.9% 132,454.75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No 99.9% 277,368.09 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 73,645.36 shares