Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
liulian
0x666b8ad3f3158a191306f69438555e3e1a05308b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.12
- Realized PnL
- $166.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.21
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.48
- Potential profit
- $142.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.27
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.45
- Potential profit
- $42.45
- User PnL
- -$5.17
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.35
- Potential profit
- $36.35
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $35.24
- Potential profit
- $32.54
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.29
- Potential profit
- $34.29
- User PnL
- -$4.7
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.37
- Potential profit
- $31.37
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $26.36
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.19
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.7%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $19.5
- Potential profit
- $9.22
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $19.37
- Potential profit
- $14.77
- Multiplier
- 4.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $17.56
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.13
- Potential profit
- $18.13
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $17.74
- Potential profit
- $11.8
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.98
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $15.88
- Potential profit
- $14.53
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Maple Leafs position
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.54
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.73
Clippers position
Lakers vs. Clippers
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
Wizards position
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1
Rockets position
Spurs vs. Rockets
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
Vikings position
Vikings vs. Cowboys
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Mavericks position
Warriors vs. Mavericks
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.58
Panthers position
Panthers vs. Lightning
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Colombia position
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Under position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Monte position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Tampa Bay Rays position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
B8 position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.92
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
BIG position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Y
Yes position
Norway leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?No 96.1% 1.05 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No 99.3% 1.07 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No 99.3% 1.12 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 95% 1.12 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 96.3% 1.12 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No 84% 1.29 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 98% 1.16 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 56% 2.02 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 94.3% 1.48 shares
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?No 53% 2.02 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 95.6% 2.87 shares