Polymarket Trader

Kingstonfox

0x668d87c0922eedacc37d5cf427a1f9accf1608b5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $920.75
Realized PnL: $5.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $143.81
Potential payout: $750.96
Potential profit: $607.15
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: -$6.19

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $408.76
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $179.47
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $8.77

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $302.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $197.5
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $2.5

Over position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$100

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $54.64
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $16.79
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $4.64

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.88
Potential profit: $31.88
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $11.03
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $6.21
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $1.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Yes position

Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.13

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.71

No position

More hostages in Gaza freed before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.91

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.94

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.62

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.11

No position

Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.13

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

Yes position

Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.89

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.72

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate leave Romania before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.9

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

No position

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

No position

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

No position

Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $6.56

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No 68% 147.06 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No 68% 147.06 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No 68% 73.53 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No 68% 220.59 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 19% 263.16 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 20.5% 487.8 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 60% 83.33 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 60% 166.67 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 60% 166.67 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

No 60% 83.33 shares
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5

Over 74% 135.14 shares
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?

No 71.5% 13.99 shares