No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $14.62K
- Potential payout
- $24.17K
- Potential profit
- $9.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $375.11
Polymarket Trader
Marioy
0x66ad4221d66358ab9867f6d8cae73ede08e5cc4e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.83K
- Realized PnL
- $50.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $15.89K
- Potential payout
- $22.54K
- Potential profit
- $6.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$67.72
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $9.5K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $13.2K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $7.41K
- Potential payout
- $10.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$49.17
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $3.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $6.95K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $6.69K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $311.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$171.5
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $4.47K
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $900
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $3.27K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $192.03
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$2.37K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $990
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$720
Yes position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $208.28
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $192.85
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$630
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$801.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $564.29
- Potential profit
- $564.29
- User PnL
- -$499.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.29
- Potential profit
- $200.29
- User PnL
- -$195.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5K
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73K
Yes position
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95K
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Up 7% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Up 37% 500 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?Yes 86% 1,000 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?Yes 57% 999.99 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?Yes 68% 771.8 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17?Yes 93% 1,720 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12?Yes 90% 365.15 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?Yes 97% 208 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13?Yes 84% 308.46 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12?Yes 76.7% 1,500 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12?Yes 92.9% 946.28 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?Yes 32% 999.99 shares