Polymarket Trader

Pedro-Pe

0x66c1a6fe836ff555ca32848646acedbbe93bfa3f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $93.38K
Realized PnL: $76.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.63K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$24.63K

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.63K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: $24.63K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $3.11K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.89K
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: -$6.89K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.35K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$6.35K

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $16.89K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $3.11K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.89K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $16.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $3.65K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $6.35K

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$987

No position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: $987

Yes position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $371.27
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $645.92
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$199.52

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $945
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$393.21

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $894.08
Potential payout: $998.97
Potential profit: $104.89
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $261.69

Yes position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $59.98
Potential payout: $666.44
Potential profit: $606.46
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$149.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.01K

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47K

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.09K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96K

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?

Ends May 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

No position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during victory rally?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Yes position

Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 19?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest country" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Trump say "World Cup" this week? (September 29 - October 5)

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.46K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?

Yes 96% 63 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

Yes 71.8% 214 shares
Will Trump say "Space Force" this week?

Yes 97.9% 298.67 shares
Will Trump say "Space Force" this week?

Yes 45% 10 shares
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?

Yes 94.1% 40.15 shares
Will Trump say "Star" this week?

Yes 7.5% 305.7 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

Yes 73% 60.52 shares
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

Yes 75.5% 186.29 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Yes 97.2% 146.64 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in June?

Yes 98% 72.42 shares
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?

Yes 76.4% 40.15 shares
Will Trump praise Sheikh Tamim al-Thani by June 30?

Yes 92.7% 57.15 shares