Polymarket Trader

Friday

0x66c1cc4f994ee99a2f5977a2e071cbfd65852c72

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.51K
Realized PnL: $25.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $254
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.75K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$37.5

Tesla position

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.84K
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$207.24

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $548.39
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $3.37K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$26.3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $5.25
User PnL: $2.84K

Yes position

Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $212.7
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.79K
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: -$27.3

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $400.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $64.54

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $175.77
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $99.9

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $371
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $136.11

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$29.77

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$25.03

Yes position

Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.2%
Current value: $383.46
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 3.97x
User PnL: $174.45

Yes position

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $17.54
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $985
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$42.52

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $112.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $887.53
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $184.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $815.5
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $18.5

Yes position

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $950
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$50.16

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $982
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $935
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $35.4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $964.6
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$60.22

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $986
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$36.37

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $320
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $680
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $180

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $34.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $965.49
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$35.5

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $255
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $744.99
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

Yes position

Will Trump post 150 or more times on Truth March 7-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $940.25

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $933.71

Yes position

Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $921.24

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $907.22

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $904.8

Yes position

Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900.61

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $876

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $856.25

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $818.58

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $812.08

No position

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $799.87

No position

Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $789.96

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.91

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $656

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $603.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 999.99 shares
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Argentina 88% 100 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 1,000 shares
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Argentina 40% 31 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

No 3% 100 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

No 16% 100 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Yes 27% 999.99 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Yes 87% 300 shares
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Yes 12.2% 9.66 shares
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Yes 59% 50 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 13% 300 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 21% 30.84 shares