Odom1

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33K
Potential profit: $33K
User PnL: -$4.98K

ETH position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.48K
Potential profit: $20.48K
User PnL: -$10.37K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on November 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.39K
Potential profit: $20.39K
User PnL: -$41.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$1.71K

Yes position

French election called by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $5.38K
User PnL: -$148.68

Yes position

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $5.09K
User PnL: -$3.01K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on November 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.93K
Potential profit: $4.93K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $30.35
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.64K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $22.93
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $10.7

No position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.66K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on November 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$139.51

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$369.46

Yes position

Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on November 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$10.22

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 44.5% on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$24.86

Yes position

Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$17.31

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $331.93
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $812.67
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $215.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$61.49

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $26.16
Potential payout: $545
Potential profit: $518.84
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$90.54

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $8.48
Potential payout: $320.13
Potential profit: $311.64
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$4.72

Yes position

Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $258.64
Potential profit: $256.96
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $258.64
Potential profit: $256.95
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.04
Potential profit: $236.04
User PnL: -$13.16

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.4% on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.19K

No position

Ethereum all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $817.4

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $740

Yes position

Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.99

Yes position

Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.99

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.3

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $396.98

Yes position

Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.73

Yes position

Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.68

No position

Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.91

No position

Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $153.88

No position

French election called by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.57

Yes position

Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 17?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.8

No position

Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Trump post 16-20 times this week?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.03

No position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.17

No position

Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

No position

Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36

Yes position

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?