Polymarket Trader

napoleon

0x66e5d7022fe1a6478ed4c32296c4f3ef9782c0fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.65
Realized PnL: -$5.84
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.76
Potential profit: $13.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $13.04
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Solana reach $180 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.47
Potential profit: $12.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $7.78
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.42
Potential profit: $6.42
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $2.25
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Circle IPO by June?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2023-24 Champions League?

Ends May 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March?

Ends Feb 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?

Ends Dec 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Trump position

Who will speak more at the debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump win 6 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Trump position

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Ends Sep 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Solana reach $190 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will PSV beat Stade Brestois?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Solana above $150 on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.22

No position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Yes 49% 9.18 shares
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Yes 23% 13.04 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 67% 2.99 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 36% 7.78 shares
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?

Yes 31% 6.42 shares
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?

Yes 36% 5.56 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 17?

Yes 7.3% 13.76 shares
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?

Yes 52% 2.25 shares
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17?

Yes 46% 2.17 shares
Will Solana reach $180 in June?

Yes 8% 12.47 shares