Polymarket Trader

lolsim

0x66e7e0d01eac38785f00e0b73778402469002cc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83.82
Realized PnL: $94.17
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $871.21
Potential profit: $861.19
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Kate Green win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $468.13
Potential profit: $466.96
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.09
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $259.52
Potential profit: $256.53
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $217.87
Potential profit: $213.62
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $174.11
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.46
Potential profit: $173.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $135.42
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $130.74
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $127.43
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $117.99
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.98
Potential profit: $115.98
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.17
Potential profit: $97.17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $94.34
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $84.48
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$3.28

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $5.22
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $80.99
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $78.57
Potential profit: $51.07
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.93
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $57.19
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $57.47
Potential profit: $53.22
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: -$0.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 8% 62.5 shares
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 8.7% 57.47 shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 5.8% 86.21 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.2% 416.67 shares
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 2.3% 217.87 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 2.8% 178.57 shares
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?

No 6.4% 78.57 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.1% 121.95 shares
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

12% 40.72 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.8% 131.58 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Yes 1.9% 259.52 shares