No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $71.97
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Polymarket Trader
4BVJ878SW
0x66f63822997c4c36b49e90c99b94ef1456bbcc8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $184.34
- Realized PnL
- $25.6
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $59
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $53.38
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $7.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.51
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Thunder position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No 90% 61 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 86% 69 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.2% 26 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.2% 48 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 76.5% 22 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 84.7% 22.98 shares
- Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 96.4% 43 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 54% 84 shares
- Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 91.3% 43 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No 88% 22.99 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 56% 84 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.1% 108 shares