Polymarket Trader

affen

0x670207a99eab046e5b4ab56bc13f1c804c680051

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.22K
Realized PnL: $7.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Southern Super Stars position

Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $454.57
Potential payout: $694
Potential profit: $239.43
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $336.59

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 34.4%
Current value: $194.3
Potential payout: $565
Potential profit: $370.7
Multiplier: 2.91x
User PnL: -$235.07

No position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.6%
Current value: $370.64
Potential payout: $565
Potential profit: $194.36
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $264.99

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $100.76
Potential payout: $458
Potential profit: $357.24
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$18.32

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $83.27
Potential payout: $273
Potential profit: $189.74
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$17.75

Yes position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $20.58
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $63.42
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $690.64

Yes position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $657.99

Yes position

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.22

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.12

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.63

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.79

No position

Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.99

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.4

Over position

Dundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.15

Yes position

Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $209.07

No position

Will Artemis II launch by February 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.3

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.8

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 10 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

No position

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $169.15

No position

Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.76

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 18 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $160.37

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.23

Yes position

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $152.88

Yes position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $141.8

Yes position

Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.95

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.32

No position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.48

Virginia Tech Hokies position

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5

Under 19% 560 shares
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?

No 89.9% 666 shares
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 25.6% 25 shares
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 73% 463 shares
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

No 96.1% 992 shares
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?

No 59% 794 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?

No 23% 1,006 shares
Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?

No 80% 440 shares
Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?

No 80% 427 shares
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026

No 76% 149 shares
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026

No 76% 963 shares
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5

Under 89% 572 shares