Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Polymarket Trader
Marianax
0x670555fa08040c7fe8b0f599e382b40370d8234a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $255.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $891.97
- Potential profit
- $891.97
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $248.12
- Potential profit
- $248.12
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.94
- Potential profit
- $214.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.53
- Potential profit
- $131.53
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.9
- Potential profit
- $115.9
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.02
- Potential profit
- $110.02
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.6
- Potential profit
- $27.6
- User PnL
- -$13.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 22?Yes 98.2% 1.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 22?Yes 74.9% 1.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?Yes 98.2% 4.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?Yes 99.8% 3.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?Yes 14.1% 8.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?Yes 99.2% 1.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?Yes 61% 3.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?Yes 0.2% 8.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?Yes 99.4% 2.78 shares