Polymarket Trader

0x6706...2341

0x67066d10ba694cb17aa281571c0d5b1c9f332341

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $171.43
Realized PnL: $158.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $29.57
Potential payout: $54.25
Potential profit: $24.68
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $9.54

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $47.73
Potential profit: $46.83
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$4.53

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $35.32
Potential payout: $46.17
Potential profit: $10.85
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $13.77

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $27.19
Potential profit: $24.88
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.04

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $23.44
Potential payout: $24.02
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.29

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.25
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $14.07
Potential payout: $16.27
Potential profit: $2.2
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $12.54
Potential profit: $12.46
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $11.72
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.17
Potential payout: $11.37
Potential profit: $1.19
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $10.56
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $10.41
Potential profit: $10.16
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$1.69

No position

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $7.74
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $7.37
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $2.69
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $4.03
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $3.5
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $3.17
Potential profit: $3.04
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $2.69
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.64

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

No position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.43

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

Over position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $4.92

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.22

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

No position

Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

No position

Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 28% 3.72 shares
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 24% 1.21 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 83% 0.38 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 83% 0.4 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 83% 0.23 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 82% 0.52 shares
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 27% 2.93 shares
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

No 81% 1.06 shares
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

No 82% 0.17 shares
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

No 41% 2.44 shares
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?

No 10% 2.76 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?

Yes 94.7% 10.56 shares