Yes position
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$2.51
Polymarket Trader
Dr.Fechtjohann
0x671226724de111f348e68d8a5e21d8878721620a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.07
- Realized PnL
- $167.33
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310.89
- Potential profit
- $310.89
- User PnL
- -$29.28
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.18
- Potential profit
- $19.18
- User PnL
- -$6.52
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $16.89
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $8.79
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.7
- Potential profit
- $13.7
- User PnL
- -$8.36
Yes position
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.69
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
No position
Will Trump say "Star" this week? (December 1 - 7)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "hell" 3 or more times in his next speech?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.57
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.25
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $160 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
Yes position
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.42
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ukraine" 3 or more times during NBC interview?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2?
Ends Aug 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Bitboy position
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes 30% 14.27 shares
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No 19% 16.89 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo 44% 2.27 shares
- 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?Yes 17% 11.76 shares
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes 8.4% 296.62 shares
- Will Trump say "Star" this week? (December 1 - 7)No 55% 4.44 shares
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes 48.7% 8.21 shares
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes 0.1% 186.63 shares
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes 8% 186.63 shares
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes 85% 25 shares
- Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes 61% 13.7 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 38% 22 shares