Polymarket Trader

daddypapi

0x67482380b9d3266dcfee87abb8ae006c7cce151b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $976.07
Realized PnL: $2.26K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43K
Potential profit: $71.43K
User PnL: -$500

Under position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 70.9%
Current value: $497.16
Potential payout: $701.71
Potential profit: $204.55
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$56.17

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $478.91
Potential payout: $594.91
Potential profit: $116.01
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $8.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $890.8

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $888.81

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $635.1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.54

Yes position

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.99

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.87

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.73

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.08

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.9

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.03

No position

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.14

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.77

No position

GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.54

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.18

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23.3%
Multiplier: 4.29x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$231.14

No position

GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$350.02

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$409.42

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$469.56

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$1.15K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 78.9% 701.71 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5

Under 30% 30 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Yes 12.9% 1,199.97 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

No 3.4% 5,043.83 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

No 99.9% 286.44 shares
Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 10.94 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 3,456.31 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 3,456.32 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 37% 810.81 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 37% 600 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

No 89.4% 1,637.77 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

No 88.3% 46.07 shares