Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 27?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
ElChucoSiempre
0x674b7cdecbdc217fd259be944a9dfae02fe1f1af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $265.11
- Realized PnL
- $9.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.07K
- Potential profit
- $12.07K
- User PnL
- -$100
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100.4
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09K
- Potential profit
- $9.09K
- User PnL
- -$99.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.01K
- Potential profit
- $7.01K
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.36K
- Potential profit
- $6.36K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.91K
- Potential profit
- $5.91K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.88K
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $104.25
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$195.75
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $3.06K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $160.86
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$339.14
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- User PnL
- -$368.73
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Venezuela Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880.35
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.08
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.63
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.91
BYU position
Spread: BYU (-17.5)
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.83
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.99
Yes position
TikTok sale announced by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.57
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.7
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.73
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.18
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.75
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.31
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 24?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.93
BYU Cougars position
Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougars
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.44
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.07
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $39.12
BYU Cougars position
BYU Cougars vs. Miami Hurricanes
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.95
No position
Will Brian Armstrong say "Solana" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.56
Yes position
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.97
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.52
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?Yes 2.5% 700.61 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No 2.5% 811.44 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 4.6% 1,088.92 shares
- Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?No 5.3% 342.72 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes 2.8% 706.78 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 4.9% 205.24 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 6% 500 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 677.48 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes 6% 1,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 17.2% 810.41 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.6% 1,517.5 shares