No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $86.69
- Potential payout
- $86.73
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $1.69
Polymarket Trader
argus-br
0x67533b88868315248a18b3d54359f217bafdb37d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $257.5
- Realized PnL
- $257.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $57.11
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $17.32
- Potential payout
- $24.22
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $22.11
- Potential payout
- $22.2
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $16.36
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $12.55
- Potential payout
- $16.19
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $8.37
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $8.32
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $6.68
- Potential payout
- $7.86
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.34
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Up position
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $6.23
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.9%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $5.52
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 2.39x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $2.3
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $2.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.87
Sri Lanka position
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lanka
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
Miami (OH) RedHawks position
Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
Yes position
Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-02-10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.98
Yes position
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Australia position
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Oman (Game 1)
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Georgia Southern Eagles position
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Georgia Southern Eagles
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Afghanistan position
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs Canada (Game 1)
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 15?No 96% 3.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?No 89% 2.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 15?No 91% 2.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 14?No 98% 86.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on July 14?No 99% 82.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on July 14?No 99% 101.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?No 99% 68.69 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.3% 17.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 13?No 76% 1.32 shares
- Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?No 79.7% 2.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 13?No 93% 2.15 shares