No position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- User PnL
- -$205.41
Polymarket Trader
billiecat
0x67545d5ff1a1b95e2dadbc003af611f7c7a3f937
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.3
- Realized PnL
- $693.47
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$274.64
Raptors position
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$49.5
No position
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.8
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.34
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?No 75% 20 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 77% 800 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No 87% 140.39 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes 0.2% 227.79 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes 4.3% 127.8 shares
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Yes 1.3% 2,500 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No 26.5% 37.7 shares