No position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $292.49
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $26.3
Polymarket Trader
ping0125
0x676ec2de0fcf3c8afd180d489daccf938ee98aa7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.53K
- Realized PnL
- $2.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $196
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30.2
Yes position
Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
Ends Sep 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $52
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $48
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$13.4
No position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$92
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $83.5
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$51.5
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $99.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
Ends Sep 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.1%
- Current value
- $39.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $60.9
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $20.19
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $95.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$82
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$90.1
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $99.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $99.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $99.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$63
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $79.44
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $20.55
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $69.92
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $6.08
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $50.38
- Potential payout
- $75.76
- Potential profit
- $25.38
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $40.94
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $21.56
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$9.06
No position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $55.5
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $17.7
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $48.9
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.58
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.27
No position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.65
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161
No position
Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.49
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
No position
Trudeau resigns by Friday?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.5
Up position
Solana Up or Down on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.8
Yes position
Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.1
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
49ers position
49ers vs. Seahawks
Ends Oct 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.73
No position
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.5
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.37
Down position
Solana Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.35
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.17
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Kings
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Trump x Xi talk before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Vikings position
Jets vs. Vikings
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?No 97.9% 50 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?No 96.4% 50 shares
- Solana Up or Down on July 8?Down 99.8% 619.65 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down on July 8?Down 99.9% 75 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes 99% 100 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes 99.2% 8 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes 99.2% 16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes 99.5% 80 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No 99.9% 100.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?Up 99.6% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?Up 99.5% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 5?No 99.8% 45 shares