Polymarket Trader

TheGreekTraderPM

@TheGreekTrader

0x6770bf688b8121331b1c5cfd7723ebd4152545fb

Verified Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.91K
Realized PnL: $28.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $16.35K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$6.35K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $16.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $3.65K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $6.35K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $6.65K
Potential payout: $12.54K
Potential profit: $5.89K
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $254
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.75K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $14

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $6.18K
Potential payout: $6.22K
Potential profit: $40.45
User PnL: $452.67

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $5.94K
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $72.17
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $72.19

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$64.29

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$818.6

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $29.87
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$248.88

Yes position

Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$32.75

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$318.59

Yes position

Will Serbia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$149.04

Yes position

Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$17.65

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$87.22

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $825.44
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $239.65
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $71.84

Yes position

Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$339.42

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $987.99
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $914.48
Potential profit: $914.48
User PnL: -$38.84

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900.01
Potential profit: $900.01
User PnL: -$662.4

Yes position

Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $770
Potential profit: $770
User PnL: -$154

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $670.96
Potential profit: $670.96
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.48
Potential profit: $602.48
User PnL: -$1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Valentova position

Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $5.19K

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the Fox News interview on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $920.41

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $888.37

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $835.97

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $828.99

Yes position

Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $775.08

No position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $770.08

Yes position

Will Trump say "Apple" during tariff event on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $735.54

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $724.05

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $682.24

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $663.75

No position

Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $583.4

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $582.68

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $557.66

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $544.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 23.4% 368.37 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 40% 55.89 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 39% 26.03 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 34% 999.99 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 1.6% 500 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 37% 195 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 10,000 shares
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

No 98.9% 20 shares
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

No 98.9% 30 shares
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

No 98.9% 100 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 1,038.5 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 99.1% 15 shares