Polymarket Trader

tms2016

0x67790a06dd5a6f8213feb998b1b83f86be492ff6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.67K
Realized PnL: $1.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $15.49K
Potential payout: $18.11K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $175.6

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $8.41K
Potential payout: $8.94K
Potential profit: $532.09
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $53.67

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $6.28K
Potential payout: $7.18K
Potential profit: $896.92
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $33.44

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $174
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$71

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $45.74
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $60.2

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $2.83
User PnL: $25.27

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $628.22
Potential profit: $628.22
User PnL: -$420

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $432.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $62.79

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.83
Potential profit: $319.83
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $274.2
Potential payout: $318.28
Potential profit: $44.08
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $217.82
Potential payout: $313.45
Potential profit: $95.63
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$12.18

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.91
Potential profit: $248.91
User PnL: -$130

Over position

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.22
Potential profit: $242.22
User PnL: -$120.28

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $111.02
Potential payout: $203.7
Potential profit: $92.69
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.81
Potential profit: $194.81
User PnL: -$150

Over position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.54
Potential profit: $192.54
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $100.96
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $91.35
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $49.04
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $143.27
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.68
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $109.98
Potential payout: $147.62
Potential profit: $37.64
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.99
Potential profit: $128.99
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $39.62
Potential payout: $127.8
Potential profit: $88.19
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$10.38

Under position

FC Barcelona vs. OL Lyonnes: O/U 2.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.88
Potential profit: $124.88
User PnL: -$80

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $283.56

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.15

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.64

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.76

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.54

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.46

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.25

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.95

Yes position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.53

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.08

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.6

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.29

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.19

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.63

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.72

Qinwen Zheng position

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.19

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $33.27

No position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.94

Jasmine Paolini position

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.63

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.37

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.62

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Canada 82% 60.98 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 133.33 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 26% 192.31 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

No 83% 60.24 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 59% 84.75 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 52% 192.31 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 83% 48.19 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 54% 203.7 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Under 83% 60.24 shares
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Under 82% 12.2 shares
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Under 97% 51.55 shares
Spread: Panama (-1.5)

Croatia 99.9% 100.1 shares