Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $63
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Polymarket Trader
nomerlot
0x67825e3de5b63042b135d4857bc55779bfb6285b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $65.74
- Realized PnL
- $43.32
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $59.06
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.78
- Potential profit
- $60.78
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Current value
- $9.61
- Potential payout
- $41.49
- Potential profit
- $31.89
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Ends Jan 20, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $13.72
- Potential payout
- $33.87
- Potential profit
- $20.15
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$7.62
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $31.85
- Potential payout
- $32.2
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.5
- Potential profit
- $29.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $22.18
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.54
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.13
- Potential profit
- $22.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.11
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.16
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the next UK election be called by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 69% 163.93 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 61% 163.93 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 93% 33.33 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 55% 86.6 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 39.3% 38.19 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 9% 55.56 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes 97.6% 44.06 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 16.5% 60.78 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 30% 33.33 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.1% 41.49 shares
- Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 33% 41.66 shares