0x6784858070e1F57c770a1e3B4F9eeefb3Ce47565-1765826087607

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.3
Potential profit: $319.3
User PnL: -$7.71

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.76
Potential profit: $226.76
User PnL: -$121.53

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.59
Potential profit: $170.59
User PnL: -$6.27

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.39
Potential profit: $164.39
User PnL: -$15.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.98
Potential profit: $136.98
User PnL: -$6.76

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.92
Potential profit: $121.92
User PnL: -$16.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $61.67
Potential payout: $116.37
Potential profit: $54.69
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $5.67

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.55
Potential profit: $107.55
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $40.86
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $66.67
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $2.15

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.5
Potential profit: $95.5
User PnL: -$12.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 5?

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $58.97
Potential payout: $83.06
Potential profit: $24.09
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $9.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $27.7
Potential payout: $71.04
Potential profit: $43.33
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.83

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.82
Potential profit: $65.82
User PnL: -$22.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $42.6
Potential payout: $65.54
Potential profit: $22.94
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $51.23
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $10.49
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.23

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$3.38

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $51.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $48.04
Potential payout: $48.29
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $12.47

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.76
Potential profit: $44.76
User PnL: -$6.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $27.21
Potential payout: $40.92
Potential profit: $13.71
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.61

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.48
Potential profit: $38.48
User PnL: -$7.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $12.41
Potential payout: $34.94
Potential profit: $22.54
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 5?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $11.44
Potential payout: $34.65
Potential profit: $23.22
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $986.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $972.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $948.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $944.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $927.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $913.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $811.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $746.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $736.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $729.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $712.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $694.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET