Polymarket Trader

0x67948bEb458a078bA926709e42FF4c8C269FEC48-1764178056526

0x67948beb458a078ba926709e42ff4c8c269fec48

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.54K
Realized PnL: $1.82K
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $15.54K
Potential payout: $18.17K
Potential profit: $2.64K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.14K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.53
Potential profit: $99.53
User PnL: -$70.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.13K

Japan position

First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.49

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.52

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $115.31

Yes position

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $55.54

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.77

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$158.87

Japan position

First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$176.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 85% 6,578.25 shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Bilibili Gaming 70% 4.96 shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Bilibili Gaming 71% 4.96 shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Bilibili Gaming 72% 4.96 shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Bilibili Gaming 78% 4.97 shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Bilibili Gaming 80% 49.7 shares
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Bilibili Gaming 92% 534.65 shares
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Bilibili Gaming 84% 534.65 shares
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Bilibili Gaming 76% 673.92 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 80% 20,183.6 shares
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?

Yes 62% 5 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 89.3% 359.99 shares