Electric4Each

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $409.39
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $370
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $327.69
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.55
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $259.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $254.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $230.02
Potential profit: $226.45
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $156.93
Potential profit: $156.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $137.06
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $113.94
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $78.84
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $15.83
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $49.17
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: $14.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.73
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?