Polymarket Trader

drvr

0x67a9caf3a46de80dfe46295f7241ebaf0759c417

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $936.07
Realized PnL: $7.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $255
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.75K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$250.54

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$33.71

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $936.13
Potential profit: $936.13
User PnL: -$183.78

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $154.48
Potential payout: $759.51
Potential profit: $605.03
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$77.93

Yes position

Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $749.39
Potential profit: $749.39
User PnL: -$248.77

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $463.92
Potential profit: $463.92
User PnL: -$245.88

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.33
Potential profit: $433.33
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.33
Potential profit: $387.33
User PnL: -$25.56

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $40.43
Potential payout: $385
Potential profit: $344.58
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$32.73

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $364.41
Potential profit: $364.41
User PnL: -$215

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.21
Potential profit: $339.21
User PnL: -$162.82

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $238.28
Potential payout: $328.67
Potential profit: $90.38
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $41.08

Yes position

Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $37.7
Potential payout: $314.2
Potential profit: $276.5
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$25.87

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $97.2
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $142.8
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $56.02
Potential payout: $238.39
Potential profit: $182.37
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $56.95
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $113.05
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$11.65

Yes position

Türkiye to score first vs. United States?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.58
Potential profit: $35.58
User PnL: -$12.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $809.01

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.48

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.85

Yes position

Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.3

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.65

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $356.59

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.04

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.35

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.27

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.22

Yes position

Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.85

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.48

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $281.79

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.48

Yes position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.14

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.71

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.67

Yes position

Will Trump tweet 50 or more times October 18-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.49

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.81

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.53

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $212.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.09

Yes position

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $166.39

Yes position

Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 60% 328.67 shares
Türkiye to score first vs. United States?

Yes 36% 35.58 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 25% 297.28 shares
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 9% 382 shares
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 13% 208 shares
Will Haiti be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.5% 60 shares
Will Haiti be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 30 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 486.87 shares
Will Haiti be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.4% 11.29 shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Yes 40.4% 240 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 12% 433.33 shares