Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $186.83
- Potential payout
- $211.11
- Potential profit
- $24.28
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Polymarket Trader
rollothomasi123
0x67eac243264b7d4246d900709a07c209aa5f87cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $431.4
- Realized PnL
- $1.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $102.94
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $92.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $49.13
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $9.01
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.96
- Potential profit
- $7.96
- User PnL
- -$7.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.63
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.9
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.89
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.39
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.12
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.31
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.43
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.76
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.06
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.51
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.89
Yes position
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.75
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90% 111.11 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93.2% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.5% 150 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.3% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.9% 150 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 86% 75.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 100 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 86% 58.14 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?No 85% 117.65 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?No 96% 104.17 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?No 90% 55.56 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?No 99.5% 402.01 shares