Polymarket Trader

JustinMurray8742

@alertma96837393

0x67f2764adb971bb90bc05868f60db689b8196a72

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.44K
Realized PnL: $3.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $989
Potential profit: $989
User PnL: -$757.57

Sri Lanka position

T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $691.86
Potential payout: $887
Potential profit: $195.14
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$105.55

Yes position

Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $372
Potential payout: $775
Potential profit: $403
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $217

Under position

Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $703
Potential profit: $703
User PnL: -$182.78

Yes position

Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-05?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $575
Potential profit: $575
User PnL: -$109.25

Southern Miss Golden Eagles position

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $211
Potential payout: $422
Potential profit: $211
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $71.74

Butler Bulldogs position

Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas (W)

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405
Potential profit: $405
User PnL: -$153.9

No position

Will the announcers say "Triangle" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383
Potential profit: $383
User PnL: -$333.21

Over position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379
Potential profit: $379
User PnL: -$155.39

Yes position

Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $14.54
Potential payout: $78.61
Potential profit: $64.07
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $20.54
Potential payout: $58.69
Potential profit: $38.15
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $11.23
Potential payout: $46.8
Potential profit: $35.57
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$15.44

No position

Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$31.95

No position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $42.23
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.26

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $34.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $5.8
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $21.45
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$16.65

No position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.84
Potential profit: $28.84
User PnL: -$4.04

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $26.43
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.27

Yes position

Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.42

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Obamacare" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.12

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.6

Yes position

Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.93

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.16

Yes position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.48

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.9

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.38

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.02

No position

Will Trump say "Tunnel" during Board of Peace events on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.7

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $133.72

No position

Ansem mindshare all time high by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.77

No position

Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $85.15

Yes position

Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.32

Yes position

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.45

No position

Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.7

No position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $60.79

No position

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.36

No position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.58

No position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.76

Yes position

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.12

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $34.53

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.57

Yes position

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $26.76

No position

Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $26.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5

Under 76.6% 989 shares
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?

No 97.7% 1,370 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 60% 605 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 60% 56 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 60% 69 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

No 33% 217 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

No 34% 217 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 69% 730 shares
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

No 7% 400.16 shares
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

No 7% 182 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 58% 309 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 58% 355 shares