JD Gaming position
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705.13
- Potential profit
- $705.13
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
outsmartchad
0x67fa85c4ea5db24793e6c544f43941a9e4431a08
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $184.26
- Realized PnL
- -$12.26
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $143.18
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $84.09
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $68.18
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $24.33
- Potential payout
- $211.55
- Potential profit
- $187.22
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $128.21
- User PnL
- -$50
Aiemann Zahabi position
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$30
JD Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.44
- Potential profit
- $103.44
- User PnL
- -$16.5
N
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $13.72
- Potential payout
- $91.47
- Potential profit
- $77.75
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Y
Yes position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $50.9
- Potential profit
- $47.87
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
JD Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
JD Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No 16.6% 60.22 shares
- Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes 9.8% 50.9 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No 16% 31.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 38% 125 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 33% 151.52 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 33% 75.76 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 11.8% 211.55 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 40% 125 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Yes 22% 53.51 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 60% 166.67 shares
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes 39% 128.21 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Yes 35% 53.51 shares