Polymarket Trader

Fciaf42

0x680a895214d3b8e98657001d35df3e8608970a15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $84.02
Realized PnL: $2.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $290.73
Potential profit: $290.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$89.17

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $30.13
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $98.08
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$19.87

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $29.55
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $61.36
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $52.91
Potential profit: $47.88
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$31.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $9.88
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $13.37
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.23
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $5.78
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.92
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.68

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.04

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.05

No position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.12

No position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.87

No position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $99.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.34

No position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.17

No position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.7

No position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $71.26

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.75

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.71

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.42

No position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.8

No position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $44.82

Knicks position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.67

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.6%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Up 43% 23.26 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

Over 33% 90.91 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 3.6% 15.73 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96% 14.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Up 52% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Up 51% 19.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Up 51% 19.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Up 51% 19.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Up 51% 19.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Up 46% 21.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Up 55% 36.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Up 29% 34.48 shares