Polymarket Trader

drilonn

0x6818c5ca8f1e92fc25b70996b85286540b8ebbc7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.85K
Realized PnL: $2.9K
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $4.34K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$333.39

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $963.99
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$152.97

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $443.53
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $355.5

No position

Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$260.1

Yes position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $104.47
Potential payout: $674
Potential profit: $569.53
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$14.29

Yes position

Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $337.84
Potential payout: $540.54
Potential profit: $202.7
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$62.16

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $63.5
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.83
Potential profit: $75.83
User PnL: -$21.96

Yes position

Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$20

No position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $20.77
Potential profit: $14.23
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $3.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $878.8

No position

Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $544

No position

Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.51

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.48

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.72

No position

Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.55

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.16

No position

Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.24

Yes position

Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

No position

Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.72

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.37

No position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.62

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32.39

No position

Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$211.7

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$271.62

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$328.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 2% 212.3 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 2.3% 130.43 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 2.1% 47.62 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 14.6% 34.25 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 10% 35.72 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 14% 35.71 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 65% 31.61 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 19% 16 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 11% 27.27 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 58% 34.48 shares