No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Polymarket Trader
0x681a...ffa3
0x681a673feac138b805e4bc7c8af17e301b12ffa3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $34.27
- Realized PnL
- $9.7
- Win rate
- 47.6%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $4.27
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $7.87
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.93
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.74
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 80% 6.08 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 58% 8.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 65.6% 7.55 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No 63% 7.87 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Yes 56% 8.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.9% 6.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.8% 7.05 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?No 40% 8.15 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?Down 65% 7.62 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6?Up 68% 7.1 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares