Polymarket Trader

BalkanBear

0x6826aadc58ad00472664b8631fc98104f450f19d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $110.35
Realized PnL: $5.15K
Win rate: 12.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.03K
Potential profit: $8.03K
User PnL: -$159.99

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.31K
Potential profit: $6.31K
User PnL: -$304.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26K
Potential profit: $3.26K
User PnL: -$293

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
User PnL: -$104

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$47.43

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $74.06
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$65.04

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$215

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $36.29
Potential payout: $558.34
Potential profit: $522.05
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$63.35

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.24
Potential profit: $305.24
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.52
Potential profit: $152.52
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will "Conspiracy" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.91
Potential profit: $109.91
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.19

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.15

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will the US strike Mexico next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the US strike Mexico next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.99

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.05

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42.33

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.68

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 1,287.96 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 3.3% 1,818.18 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 3.5% 285.71 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 3.5% 857.14 shares
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 632.59 shares
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?

Yes 1.8% 708.75 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 1.7% 520.83 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 3.3% 121.21 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 19% 313.89 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Yes 16.4% 152.52 shares
Will "Conspiracy" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)

Yes 13.6% 109.91 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 4.8% 520.83 shares