Polymarket Trader

0x682b5D5C7DD24c541DbEE9b7Db918f6d8bd259d8-1763576762681

0x682b5d5c7dd24c541dbee9b7db918f6d8bd259d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.2K
Realized PnL: $34.95K
Win rate: 81.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$3.6K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$619.83

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.88K
Potential profit: $9.88K
User PnL: -$400.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$399.98

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$741.29

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$290

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1.25K

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.98K
User PnL: -$1.39K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$480

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$215.95

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.41K
User PnL: -$400

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$116

Yes position

Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: $999

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$540

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$943.51

Mexico position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $305
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $695
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Corners

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $505
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $495
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $275
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $724.99
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 Corners

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $117.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $382.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$107.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.54K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Over position

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1K

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 3.5 Corners

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $360

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $277.26

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 4.5 Corners

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.04

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.25

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.26

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$212.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 28% 999.99 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Mexico 31% 1,000 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 69% 2,000 shares
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Yes 50% 1,000 shares
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Yes 50% 1,000 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 51% 2,000 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 4.5 Corners

Over 39% 244.32 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 3.5 Corners

Over 59% 1,000 shares
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 27% 1,999.99 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 19% 2,000 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

No 57% 735 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

No 14% 398 shares