Polymarket Trader

St3f

0x682dbb961b8b4c4c99d9d56557d5ad68847e4cd6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $26.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.05K
Potential profit: $45.05K
User PnL: -$273.57

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.83K
Potential profit: $22.83K
User PnL: -$35.88

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.08K
Potential profit: $21.08K
User PnL: -$246.49

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.26K
Potential profit: $15.26K
User PnL: -$679.08

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07K
Potential profit: $14.07K
User PnL: -$47.35

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.15K
Potential profit: $11.15K
User PnL: -$26.71

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.88K
Potential profit: $9.88K
User PnL: -$41.36

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.42K
Potential profit: $9.42K
User PnL: -$138.98

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.94K
Potential profit: $8.94K
User PnL: -$82.33

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.78K
Potential profit: $8.78K
User PnL: -$19.44

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $8.76K
User PnL: -$16.68

Yes position

Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$35.99

Yes position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.32K
Potential profit: $7.32K
User PnL: -$15.9

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.3K
Potential profit: $7.3K
User PnL: -$45.75

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.99K
Potential profit: $6.99K
User PnL: -$2.86K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.98K
Potential profit: $5.98K
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.72K
Potential profit: $5.72K
User PnL: -$11.43

Fluxo W7M position

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.69K
Potential profit: $5.69K
User PnL: -$65.2

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.66K
Potential profit: $5.66K
User PnL: -$17.87

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–$2.75 in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$5.98

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $5.42K
User PnL: -$8.04

Dignitas position

LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.3K
User PnL: -$21.18

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13K
Potential profit: $5.13K
User PnL: -$11.28

Team Liquid position

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.9K
User PnL: -$83.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

Yes position

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in April?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $993.76

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $970.03

No position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.59

Yes position

1,425+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $790.52

Senshi Esports Club position

LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 Group

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.41

Yes position

Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710.53

3BL Esports position

LoL: 3BL Esports vs Baam Esports (BO3)

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $696.61

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678.99

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.79

No position

Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.38

Cloud9 position

LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winner

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645.39

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $620.45

Cloud9 position

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.3

Yes position

1,475+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $562.12

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 13% 200 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

Yes 99% 29.51 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

No 51.9% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 23% 150 shares
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

No 63% 50 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 38% 384.08 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 55% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 38% 300 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 0.7% 1,000 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 0.8% 1,000 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 1% 500 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 0.9% 500 shares