No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $300K
- User PnL
- -$349.8
Polymarket Trader
ligmaaaaa
0x682e388668c2da2c40631665dea992b8a72b70bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $217.98
- Realized PnL
- $99.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$8K
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.95K
- Potential profit
- $25.95K
- User PnL
- -$22.22K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $113.32
- Potential payout
- $13.33K
- Potential profit
- $13.22K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.4K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64K
- Potential profit
- $10.64K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09K
- Potential profit
- $9.09K
- User PnL
- -$99.99
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.04K
- Potential profit
- $8.04K
- User PnL
- -$6.43K
No position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.46K
- Potential profit
- $7.46K
- User PnL
- -$4.8K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06K
- Potential profit
- $6.06K
- User PnL
- -$500.05
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.75K
- Potential profit
- $5.75K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$177.5
No position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.93K
- Potential profit
- $4.93K
- User PnL
- -$3.75K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- User PnL
- -$4.13K
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $28.8
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$475.2
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- User PnL
- -$466.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- User PnL
- -$39.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$199.37
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $53.36
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$46.64
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.95
- Potential profit
- $999.95
- User PnL
- -$119.99
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $898.07
- Potential profit
- $898.07
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.21K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.97K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.21K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71K
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.42
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733.74
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $685.25
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $667.67
No position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.65
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.11
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.48
Yes position
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.71
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.12
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 20% 708.08 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 18% 27,777.78 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 24.4% 20,460.48 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 31.2% 16,007.78 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 31% 16,129.03 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 82.1% 43,765.09 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 74.9% 6,617.03 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 84% 5,954.61 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 84.7% 12,386.1 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 68.7% 14,716.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown 35% 0.68 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?Yes 90% 1,100 shares