Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$999.89
Polymarket Trader
tomatreides
0x686763335b7c49d67bbc5546cf80e86ce32025b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $509.73
- Realized PnL
- $11.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$3.33K
No position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $509.73
- Potential payout
- $5.31K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- Multiplier
- 10.42x
- User PnL
- -$491.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334
- Potential profit
- $334
- User PnL
- -$254.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $993.85
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $893.98
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $867.42
No position
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $692.43
No position
Iran military response by Monday?
Ends Aug 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $649.69
No position
Will another movie gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.55
No position
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $538.58
USA position
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia
Ends Aug 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.09
Yes position
Will Kamala announce VP pick on Tuesday?
Ends Aug 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.97
Yes position
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.94
No position
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.79
Over position
Obama DNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?
Ends Aug 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.74
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262
No position
Iran military response by Friday?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Iran military response by Tuesday?
Ends Aug 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.65
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
No position
Coinbase top 25 app on Monday?
Ends Nov 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
Yes position
Obama endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182
Yes position
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.82
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177
No position
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 18.9% 5,304.65 shares
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 16.9% 5.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?Yes 76.2% 334 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 95.3% 125.88 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 68.3% 125.88 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 94.7% 1,583.43 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.8% 10,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 8% 6,989.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No 98.3% 1,030.22 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes 61% 1,000 shares
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No 83.8% 150.87 shares
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No 83.5% 600 shares