Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$35
Polymarket Trader
0x686880EEA810Fa9141Be46A1aCec9Eee41755198-1770878625325
0x686880eea810fa9141be46a1acec9eee41755198
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $152.86
- Realized PnL
- $13.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $31
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $969
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $994.5
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $19.61
- Potential payout
- $784.28
- Potential profit
- $764.67
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.45
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have less than 350mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $778.06
- Potential profit
- $777.67
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $407.98
- Potential profit
- $407.78
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.41
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $196.9
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $160.29
- Potential profit
- $157.73
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $924.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $879.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $845.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $472.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $331.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $323.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 19?No 99.9% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?No 36.9% 202.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?No 94% 34.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?No 89% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?No 87.8% 153.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?Yes 32% 64.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?Yes 53% 44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?Yes 59.3% 17.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?Yes 55% 126.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 19?Yes 0.3% 131.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 19?Yes 3.1% 203.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?No 3.1% 231.36 shares