No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $46.9
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $21.9
Polymarket Trader
0x686a...9d2c
0x686ad575e84e7f620a2d739e610337525dde9d2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $116.81
- Realized PnL
- -$44.58
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $47.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $22.75
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $16.05
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.74
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $8.82
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$20.22
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$23.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 95.2% 9 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 95.8% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 8.7% 17 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 91% 7 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 9% 12 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.1% 9 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 88% 10 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No 25% 15 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 75% 5 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes 32% 7 shares