Polymarket Trader

0x686d9aFDf7957C7FFb6D3D200010D6cd2073f866-1774548579083

0x686d9afdf7957c7ffb6d3d200010d6cd2073f866

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $189.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sergio Perez win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $839.69
Potential profit: $839.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.77
Potential profit: $293.77
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.64
Potential profit: $259.64
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.57
Potential profit: $221.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.47
Potential profit: $127.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.22
Potential profit: $122.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.56
Potential profit: $115.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.87
Potential profit: $75.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.12
Potential profit: $72.12
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.48
Potential profit: $70.48
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.88
Potential profit: $69.88
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.09
Potential profit: $69.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.67
Potential profit: $55.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.78

Down position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.99

No position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $4.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Yes 19% 21.05 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.6% 12.66 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.7% 12.66 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

Yes 24.6% 40.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 3.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 45.3% 2.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 72.7% 4.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?

Yes 0.3% 26.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?

Yes 3.8% 26.41 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 10.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 9.2% 2.7 shares