Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$82.52
Polymarket Trader
0x687e97c7F0798d0e363Ca34Bb9F022A949f7A7cd-1775714691663
0x687e97c7f0798d0e363ca34bb9f022a949f7a7cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $173.35
- Realized PnL
- $143.76
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $96.67
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$95.78
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $25.99
- Potential payout
- $305.8
- Potential profit
- $279.81
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$8.01
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $22.29
- Potential payout
- $98.4
- Potential profit
- $76.11
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- $20.29
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $53.36
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.74
- Potential profit
- $37.74
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $5.87
- Potential payout
- $24.45
- Potential profit
- $18.58
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $18.06
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $15.06
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.1%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $7.62
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $6.65
- Potential payout
- $12.44
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.6%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $11.17
- Potential profit
- $9.32
- Multiplier
- 6.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.19
- Potential profit
- $10.19
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.46
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.88
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.31
Yes position
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 23.08 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99.4% 94.98 shares
- Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?Yes 0.1% 5.27 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 11% 54.55 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 32% 12.44 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.5% 253.59 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 80 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers 76% 28.52 shares
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 55.7% 39.48 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 5% 113.16 shares