No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $3.68K
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $69.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $39.38
Polymarket Trader
Livvie
0x68823ff027f1e96b65a3befaee86d6a507a289af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.52K
- Realized PnL
- $782.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $843.3
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $56.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$18.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.29
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.84
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.32
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.07
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.44
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.64
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.6
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.47
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.23
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.72
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.52
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?Yes 99.8% 3,204.19 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.1% 174.02 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?No 99.9% 3,605 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 1,230.46 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?No 99.3% 2,014.1 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.5% 5.18 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 99.8% 3,230 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?Yes 99.7% 1,069.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?No 98.8% 1,226.84 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?No 99.8% 2,000 shares