Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $25.26
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Polymarket Trader
0x6887...e2f9
0x688778e5926a17209cba73a61d3ebd65dae5e2f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $101.45
- Realized PnL
- -$6.99
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $16.2
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $12.72
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.23
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $10.82
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $11.12
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $11.7
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $11.73
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.9
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.43
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $6.52
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Current value
- $2.86
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.14
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $5.58
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.68
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 9 shares
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No 97.8% 12 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 96.2% 10 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 8 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 7 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 93.1% 6 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 7.7% 27 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 96% 8 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 79.2% 5 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No 84% 5 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 16% 13 shares