Yes position
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $469.65
- Potential profit
- $469.65
- User PnL
- -$36.91
Polymarket Trader
0x688f5d93bb6085f29e95A0391528eA3D85d930Dc-1768035893942
0x688f5d93bb6085f29e95a0391528ea3d85d930dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.86
- Realized PnL
- -$57.58
- Win rate
- 31.6%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $358.82
- Potential profit
- $358.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $39.36
- Potential payout
- $115.76
- Potential profit
- $76.4
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $22.68
- Potential payout
- $87.22
- Potential profit
- $64.54
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$19.85
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $63.23
- Potential profit
- $57.22
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$14.23
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.29
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.81
- Potential profit
- $8.81
- User PnL
- -$6.34
Los Ratones position
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Deep Cross Gaming position
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.59
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- User PnL
- -$6.91
Yes position
Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.31
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will "Trump" be said 3+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$11.71
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.26
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 32% 63.22 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 19% 106.46 shares
- Will a hurricane form by May 31?Yes 12% 54.25 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 99.8% 6.52 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 39% 23.87 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 60% 7.35 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 51% 9.61 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 30% 106.47 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 58% 52.26 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 37% 91.89 shares
- Will a hurricane form by May 31?Yes 7.3% 415.4 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 36% 65.45 shares